Ten years ago, I predicted 2022. Did I get it right? By Tom Scott

in 2012 I told a story about the future I don’t like looking back at things I’ve made in the past but in the last couple weeks I’ve had some email saying 10 years ago was it 2022 or 2022 you should look back and see if you were right so I come back to the same place and I gave that to 2012 this was a friendly country Festival site with other people on it and how its I told him down but I did think of a dozen more things I want some time to think let’s go back 10 years right or wrong and see if I can predict 10 years from now story for you it’s set in a future I think that’s the first time

I use it a lot on the right spot detection shuts off after winning seats in the 2020 general election but won the Richmond blood I’m using YouTube Tool to go back and blow them in the originals while because there’s a big difference between however many people will watch this new video I’ve got to do to go to the phone screens going to have some more difficult addiction to make time by sheer luck I use the black background on the phone

I picked the wrong one to change to be the custom sound serious but I did predict do you I was going to change it again too much about halfway through the transition to small phone calls and texts only to what we call a muffin from today suddenly half the population could easily cheat on Pop Quiz things with changing and changing so fast but we would in the smartphone era social changes

the fundamental ideas to talk based on one of the big idea is that was going around it was my entire history of you would add just a few months earlier I’m now everyone was getting a computer will not receive all of which came and went very quickly it turns out that people don’t seem to like the idea of remembering everything I’m storing not taking forever with Corporation this out like a warning but I didn’t know what no one knew if it was a warning that was going to be needed

question with your history on Microsoft Nokia phones of droid Locker on Android Apple has been switched to flat design Android Services have been rebranded as Google and Microsoft Nokia Providence private sectors would wear them everyday is it just hasn’t come through completely wrong 50 Cent’s of Siri when generator transcript don’t want not then Siri was a few months old and I’m sure any of those companies could have developed it’s entirely possible these days it’s just that we went a different way

set another I still think wireless headphones Bluetooth is still really don’t you can use like that I still use one had sex now in Honey select wide time of us would probably drink too much battery to quickly but I still think that’s a Vibe line dance floor. It’s one of the biggest monsters in the whole talk and it’ll be a few times watching this to realize just how bad

and it was posted there was still some places online that would almost certainly be a Facebook group or try to or not a private web server with off-the-shelf code that whole business model number call his password. Malik mobile. I just didn’t see it coming all those screen shots should be coming home and check on that home computer instead of a couple you liked it that would be obvious everything would start be designed mobile first but in 2012 website

he was recording his phone his location and facial recognition to the rest and it didn’t take too much effort to find out what he was doing that

few minutes late to this poison pen letter arrives in every single place to do I determine bloggers in box in the country the song Eventually runs with the blogs have made it public knowledge big thing in the public Consciousness in 2012 and I did not see that coming I didn’t see him being mostly replaced my Twitter should I have no honest about one year Google was switch on Google Rita drive her gaining a reputation as a company that shuts down instead of maintaining them it was all downhill from that he decided he’s going to go and investigate Dimension Jackson Hewitt in the annals minutes before delete you can tell something about what culture is born

maybe one of the office worried about by reading the speculative fiction I just finished the brief history of the Dead by Kevin drop my references in that to terrorists warning beacons that I’ve used one media-friendly terrorist attack away from losing what was life like for the same price maybe we still up it’s just that as far as I can tell from what I read science fiction the 2020s is more worried about Democratic backsliding misinformation employment Publix

so does one question last one about 10 years from now what about 20 32 in web development and Technology contradict his big ass not be future just a teacher I think short-form video it’s going to do the YouTube what which I did two gloves people will still be nice but short form is somewhat simpler. They will be so much more of it why don’t you write need spell check in for my thing and takes time to be discovered

it’s not a Perfect Analogy but I have a sinking feeling but short phone video is going to win just through sheer weight of numbers the ability for almost anyone compete on the same attention span playing

but there’s no money in it there’s no money in Tricia just be ability to promote of the stuff there is still money in Longhorn writing through commissions or fun subscription on patreon other Platforms in the same way I don’t think short film videos going to kill you too if you didn’t kill television television as a transition how many times but this will be

there’s one problem with that though YouTube is centraline couldn’t disappear because I want hosted their own YouTube well we’ll have to see if in ten years time Google decides to shut down Bissell product is what